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Sunday, April 21, 2024

Asian Championships Preview | Stability Beam Scenario


This week/weekend’s Asian Championships will conclude the world championships qualification course of, figuring out each the ultimate continental qualifiers in addition to the last word identities of the equipment qualifiers, so there are a variety of transferring elements right here.

Schedule – US Time

Wednesday, June 14
9:30pm ET/6:30pm PT – Males’s TF/AA – Subdivision 1
(Taiwan, Philippines, Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, Jordan, Syria, Kyrgyzstan)

Thursday, June 15
2:00am ET/11:00pm PT – Males’s TF/AA – Subdivision 2
(China, Japan, Uzbekistan, India, Mongolia, Indonesia)
6:00am ET/3:00am PT – Males’s TF/AA – Subdivision 3
(South Korea, Kazakhstan, Vietnam, Iran, Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Qatar)
10:30pm ET/7:30pm PT – Ladies’s TF/AA – Subdivision 1
(Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Thailand, Qatar)

Friday, June 16
1:30am ET/10:30pm PT – Ladies’s TF/AA – Subdivision 2
(Indonesia, Singapore, Sri Lanka)
3:30am ET/12:30am PT – Ladies’s TF/AA – Subdivision 3
(China, South Korea, Taiwan, India)
5:30am ET/2:30am PT – Ladies’s TF/AA – Subdivision 4
(Uzbekistan, Philippines, Vietnam, Mongolia)

Saturday, June 17
4:30am ET/1:30am PT – Occasion Finals Day 1

Saturday, June 18
2:00am ET/11:00pm PT – Occasion Finals Day 2

Protection

Reside scores are right here and labored in the course of the junior competitors.

Paid dwell streaming is accessible right here after you make an account. I haven’t used it so can not attest to high quality.

World Championships Qualification

Two group spots at worlds for each women and men shall be earned on the Asian Championships, in addition to 8 all-around spots for ladies and 6 for males.

On the ladies’s facet, Japan and China have already certified groups to worlds and don’t have anything left to earn from this competitors, whereas South Korea does nonetheless must qualify as a group and shall be a heavy favourite to take action. With 2021 Olympic vault medalist Yeo Seojeong, fellow 2021 Olympian Lee Yunseo, and 2023 nationwide all-around champion Shin Solyi (who additionally gained the AA each days of the April choice competitors), South Korea has put collectively a formidable group for this occasion.

In actual fact, with Japan persevering with to do absolutely the least by way of gender fairness and never sending a girls’s senior delegation to this occasion in any respect (whereas sending a full males’s group), and China placing up an thrilling however deeply nerve-wracking and untested group of recent seniors, South Korea can legitimately goal group gold at this yr’s championship.

For the opposite group qualification place, Taiwan ought to enter the competitors because the default favourite, having earned that spot finally yr’s competitors by an almost 8-point margin over Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Scores recorded at world cups thus far this yr would place Uzbekistan as essentially the most compelling challenger to Taiwan, although Uzbekistan is sending solely 4 gymnasts as an alternative of the utmost 5.

On the boys’s facet, China, Japan, and South Korea have all pre-qualified as groups, so the frontrunners for the 2 remaining spots ought to be 2019 world group finalists Taiwan, together with the Milad Karimi-led Kazakhstan group that ended up scoring inside a tenth of Taiwan in worlds qualification final yr.

What If I’m Simply Right here For Chuso

Oksana Chusovitina is competing on the Asian Championships with a chance to enhance her qualification pathway to this yr’s world championships.

As of now, Chuso is assured to qualify to worlds, however simply as a vault specialist (with the intense risk of additionally qualifying as a bars specialist, which sure, can be life-making). That might imply she may not compete the all-around at worlds, considerably limiting her pathways to qualify to the Paris Olympics.

Ought to Chusovitina earn one of many 8 all-around spots out there this weekend—or ought to Uzbekistan qualify a full group to worlds—she then would be eligible to compete all 4 occasions in Antwerp, offering her an opportunity to qualify to the Olympics from worlds as one of many 14 particular person all-around athletes.

The all-around at worlds is, nonetheless, in all probability not Chusovitina’s greatest path to the Olympics. Final cycle, when there have been much more all-around spots out there at worlds, Chuso certified because the Twenty seventh-best eligible athlete on the record. So, making the highest 14 this yr can be an extra problem. Not inconceivable, however a problem.

Actually, Chuso’s greatest pathway to Olympic qualification seems like it would come from vault specialist spots fairly than the all-around. There may be one vault specialist spot out there at worlds this yr, and two extra out there from 2024 equipment world cups.

There are potential challenges to each routes. We may see handspring queen Yeo Seojeong go the vault route once more and snatch up that one spot from worlds. What if the Russians are allowed to compete as unaffiliated people at 2024 world cups? That throws every little thing into the blender. However vault-specific positions do appear like Chuso’s greatest choices proper now.

What If I’m Simply Right here For Aleah Finnegan

Aleah Finnegan ought to have a pleasant shot at getting a type of 8 out there particular person spots for worlds. Her scores from final yr’s silver-medal efficiency on the Southeast Asian Video games would rank her among the many prime 4 eligible all-around contenders on this yr’s discipline and would have certified from all the opposite continental championships thus far, so she’d be proper on monitor given those self same routines in a success meet.

With China already certified, two different nations qualifying from the group competitors right here, and the two-per-country rule in impact, there’ll find yourself being solely a most of 24 athletes in rivalry for these 8 all-around spots, so a pretty big chunk of the sphere goes to get there.

Along with Finnegan, keep watch over Dildora Aripova of Uzbekistan, who has proven scattered moments of fantastic scores on the world cups this yr. She can also be presently in qualifying place on all 4 occasions from these equipment world cups, so for those who’re a fan of chaos, her equipment factors all of a sudden getting redistributed would inject essentially the most chaos into the world cup standings.

Southeast Asian gold medalist Rifa Irfanaluthfi may even be a frontrunner within the all-around, in addition to Kazakhstan’s Aida Bauyrzhanova. It might be an upset ought to any of them not get a worlds spot from this yr’s occasion.

What If I’m Simply Right here For Emma Malabuyo

Malabuyo is now cleared to affix Finnegan on the Philippines group at this competitors, although she has mentioned she intends to compete solely beam and flooring at this level. That might imply her solely pathway to worlds this yr is for the Philippines to qualify as one of many two groups from this competitors—mainly that means they need to beat Taiwan.

With Finnegan, two routines from Malabuyo, and Alabama verbal Kylee Kwamme (who caught a Yurchenko 1.5 for 9.900 at Dev Nationals final month along with successful beam in her group) becoming a member of Lucia Gutierrez and Charlie Manzano on the squad, that is the strongest group we’ve seen from the Philippines. They need to have a standout beam rotation, a pair aggressive vaults, and a few occasion ultimate appearances. The largest stumbling block is more likely to be bars composition and execution for the non-Finnegan routines. In the event that they’re caught counting a single-digit rating, that will be insurmountable.

What If I’m Simply Right here For Carlos Yulo

Carlos Yulo presently has the world cup factors to qualify to Antwerp on 4 occasions—in all places however pommel horse and excessive bar—however he nonetheless must qualify as an all-arounder from this competitors.

He’s the key favourite to get the primary of the 6 spots out there, having executed the identical final yr with a easy 6-point margin over the following eligible competitor.

Yulo’s greatest Olympic qualification pathway shall be from the all-around at worlds, however he would even have a shot from the apparatuses at worlds, the equipment world cups in 2024, and the Asian Championships all-around in 2024, so there are numerous, many ripe alternatives for him to qualify to the Olympics.

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