Convention championships present the ultimate likelihood for groups to vary their rankings earlier than the regionals draw, so we now know precisely what NQSs groups can obtain and what their ranges of doable last rankings are.
Daring scores should be included as a part of the six and might now not be dropped.
1. Oklahoma – 198.475
| Street rating 1 | 198.375 |
| Street rating 2 | 198.350 |
| Street rating 3 | 198.325 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.775 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.675 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 198.650 |
| NQS: | 198.475 |
Max Doable NQS: 198.500
Doable Rating Vary: 1
Oklahoma is finished, set with the primary total rating.
The Race for #2: Cal moved again forward of LSU this week, although it’s nonetheless up for grabs as to who will in the end end in 2nd. LSU must rating a minimal of 197.900 at SECs, in any other case the #2 spot is Cal’s. If LSU does get that 197.9 or extra, then it’s as much as how a lot Cal will increase its personal NQS and we’ll be pulling out the calculators (like mine isn’t already out) because the two have virtually equivalent max doable NQSs. Neither Cal nor LSU will be shifted from the 2-3 spots and will probably be #1 seeds at their respective regionals.
2. Cal – 198.180
| Street rating 1 | 198.550 |
| Street rating 2 | 198.400 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.950 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.500 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.100 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.950 |
| NQS: | 198.180 |
Max Doable NQS: 198.300
Doable Rating Vary: 2-3
3. LSU – 198.125
| Street rating 1 | 198.425 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.950 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.625 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.475 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.325 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 198.300 |
| NQS: | 198.125 |
Max Doable NQS: 198.295
Doable Rating Vary: 2-3
4. Florida – 197.905
| Street rating 1 | 198.225 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.925 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.700 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.150 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.900 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.850 |
| NQS: | 197.905 |
Max Doable NQS: 198.010
Doable Rating Vary: 4-6
Florida can’t transfer up greater than 4th however has the sting for the #4 rating (and #1 seed on the Florida house regional) and would want 197.950 at SECs to clinch it. There’s a really exterior likelihood Florida might drop all the way in which to sixth, nevertheless it’s virtually positive that Florida will probably be in that 4-5 regional.
5. Utah – 197.840
| Street rating 1 | 197.875 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.775 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.725 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.300 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.075 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.750 |
| NQS: | 197.840 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.950
Doable Rating Vary: 4-7
Utah does have a possible shot to move Florida, although 4-5 go to the identical regional, so swapping locations wouldn’t do all that a lot. Completely securing the #5 rating it doesn’t matter what Kentucky does would take 198.125. Now, whether or not that’s truly the rating you need stays to be seen. Proper now, with host rearrangement, Utah and UCLA would each head to Florida, and I’d form of somewhat be ranked sixth than fifth, however issues can (will?) change quickly on Saturday in that regard, particularly since UCLA has such a wide array of doable rankings.
6. Kentucky – 197.810
| Street rating 1 | 197.925 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.800 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.600 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.100 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.950 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.775 |
| NQS: | 197.810 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.910
Doable Rating Vary: 4-9
Kentucky does have a shot to maneuver into that 4-5 regional, requiring at very minimal 197.750. So if Kentucky beats that mark, then we begin taking a look at what Utah is scoring. A 197.925 can even be a purpose rating for Kentucky since that may sew up at minimal the #6 rating.
7. Alabama – 197.760
| Street rating 1 | 198.025 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.675 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.575 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.075 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.000 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.525 |
| NQS: | 197.760 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.870
Doable Rating Vary: 5-9
To maneuver up any, Alabama wants 197.775 after which assist, however it’s doable. Guaranteeing the #7 rating takes 197.925, and guaranteeing a spot within the prime 8 (and #2 regional seeding) requires 197.800.
8. Denver – 197.700
| Street rating 1 | 197.750 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.625 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.350 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.025 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.000 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.775 |
| NQS: | 197.700 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.835
Doable Rating Vary: 6-10
Denver has a (for 2024) low street rating to do away with with that 197.350, so the quantity required to begin to have a shot to maneuver up on Alabama is a reasonably manageable 197.650, although once more that’s extra as much as Alabama and firm than Denver. As a result of UCLA has such a excessive potential peak now, guaranteeing the #8 rating for Denver would require 197.925, although in actuality I don’t count on it to take fairly take that a lot.
9. Michigan State – 197.615
| Street rating 1 | 198.050 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.475 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.275 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.150 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.725 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.550 |
| NQS: | 197.615 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.735
Doable Rating Vary: 8-10
Michigan State has the slight complication of internet hosting Huge Tens. (Presumably as a result of the Huge Ten hasn’t but discovered you can cheat the system by internet hosting the convention championship at another native enviornment the place everybody will get to depend it as a street rating? Or they’re, like, attempting to be fan pleasant or some bizarre idea?) Which means MSU can’t do away with that 197.275 street rating and has a little bit of a decrease max than anticipated.
The #8 spot is feasible relying on Denver’s rating. Normally the distinction between being #8 and #9 wouldn’t be important as a result of they go to the identical regional, however doubtlessly not a lot this yr. Proper now, with Michigan sitting in tenth and at present having a number battle with Cal, we’d most likely see Michigan promoted to ninth and Michigan State dropped to tenth to resolve the host battle if it stayed this fashion. So there may very well be an precise distinction between ending eighth and ninth this yr.
However, to make sure ending a minimum of ranked at #9, MSU will probably be in search of UCLA to attain underneath 197.575 at Pac-12s, which might verify that UCLA can’t move.
10. Michigan – 197.545
| Street rating 1 | 197.650 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.500 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.400 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.725 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.625 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.550 |
| NQS: | 197.545 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.610
Doable Rating Vary: 10-12
Michigan can’t rank any greater than tenth (although as famous above, might get swapped into the ninth seed if the whole lot stays the identical) and can principally be on the mercy of UCLA’s rating. Michigan and Arkansas even have precisely the identical peak, so whereas Michigan has the sting in at present recorded scores, that might nonetheless go both approach.
11. UCLA – 197.520
| Street rating 1 | 197.425 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.175 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.100 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.550 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 198.075 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.825 |
| NQS: | 197.520 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.810
Doable Rating Vary: 6-12
UCLA’s 198.550 on Saturday has modified the sport when it comes to giving UCLA a big peak NQS ought to that rating by some means be repeated in Utah this coming weekend. Essentially the most attainable purpose for UCLA can be the #10 rating, which might be locked with 197.575 at Pac-12s, no matter what Michigan or Arkansas rating. That neighborhood of rating would additionally put UCLA in competition to catch Michigan State relying on what MSU does.
There’s additionally a mathematical likelihood for UCLA to place stress on groups within the prime 8, although we’re speaking a giant 198 plus assist from others for that to begin being one thing to consider.
12. Arkansas – 197.445
| Street rating 1 | 197.650 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.525 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.375 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 198.100 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.400 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.275 |
| NQS: | 197.445 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.610
Doable Rating Vary: 10-14
Arkansas might leap up, although it will take a minimum of 197.650 out of the early session at SECs for that to be a thought-about risk. Conserving the #12 rating can be assured with 197.425.
13. Missouri – 197.420
| Street rating 1 | 197.600 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.475 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.400 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.525 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.375 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.325 |
| NQS: | 197.420 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.475
Doable Rating Vary: 12-14
Missouri might swap with Arkansas, although 12 and 13 go to the identical regional (and Arkansas has potential host-conflict-movement anyway) so form of no matter with that. Staving off Auburn can be assured with 197.500.
14. Auburn – 197.315
| Street rating 1 | 197.575 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.100 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.050 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.725 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.425 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.425 |
| NQS: | 197.315 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.450
Doable Rating Vary: 12-15
Auburn’s possibilities to maneuver up would require a minimum of a 197.575. So if that occurs, then we begin to discuss. A seeded place at regionals is already assured, however 197.275 would verify that Minnesota can’t move.
The Race for a Seeding: 14 of the 16 seeded spots at regionals are locked up, with two nonetheless to be determined. The 2 highest potential NQSs among the many contenders belong to Minnesota and Georgia, with Oregon State shut behind, so listed here are their eventualities:
–If Minnesota scores 197.200 or extra, Minnesota clinches a seeding
–If Georgia scores 197.450 or extra, Georgia clinches a seeding
–If Oregon State scores 197.225 AND Georgia goes sub-197.075, Oregon State clinches a seeding
Ohio State is at present in sixteenth place however with a decrease peak NQS than these three, so that they’ll be trying to max out their very own rating and root for others to not attain the above targets. Principally, if everybody will get horrible scores, Ohio State clinches a seeding. In any other case, we get into eventualities like if Ohio State scores 197.350 AND Oregon State goes sub-197.200 AND Georgia goes sub-197.050, then Ohio State clinches a seeding.
Stanford, NC State, Kent State, and Arizona State are additionally technically nonetheless alive within the race for a seeding, although the possibilities are slimmer and require a variety of issues folding within the precise proper approach on the day, so we’ll see.
15. Minnesota – 197.190
| Street rating 1 | 197.725 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.525 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.400 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.175 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.950 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.900 |
| NQS: | 197.190 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.355
Doable Rating Vary: 14-18
16. Ohio State – 197.100
| Street rating 1 | 197.125 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.125 |
| Street rating 3 | 197.000 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.350 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.150 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.100 |
| NQS: | 197.100 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.170
Doable Rating Vary: 16-22
17. Oregon State – 197.085
| Street rating 1 | 197.075 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.950 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.775 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.575 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.400 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.225 |
| NQS: | 197.085 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.245
Doable Rating Vary: 15-22
18. Georgia – 197.030
| Street rating 1 | 197.450 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.975 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.350 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.550 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.300 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.075 |
| NQS: | 197.030 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.270
Doable Rating Vary: 15-22
19. NC State – 196.960
| Street rating 1 | 196.850 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.825 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.750 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.575 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.375 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 197.000 |
| NQS: | 196.960 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.125
Doable Rating Vary: 16-24
20. Stanford – 196.930
| Street rating 1 | 197.675 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.625 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.600 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.975 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.875 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.875 |
| NQS: | 196.930 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.205
Doable Rating Vary: 15-25
21. Arizona State – 196.920
| Street rating 1 | 196.975 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.850 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.700 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.600 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.250 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.825 |
| NQS: | 196.920 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.100
Doable Rating Vary: 16-25
22. Arizona – 196.885
| Street rating 1 | 196.950 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.875 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.850 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.000 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.900 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.850 |
| NQS: | 196.885 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.915
Doable Rating Vary: 22-29
23. Kent State – 196.860
| Street rating 1 | 197.725 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.100 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.950 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.200 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.925 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.125 |
| NQS: | 196.860 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.180
Doable Rating Vary: 16-30
24. Penn State – 196.825
| Street rating 1 | 197.000 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.875 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.650 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.025 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.825 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.775 |
| NQS: | 196.825 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.900
Doable Rating Vary: 22-30
25. Towson – 196.800
| Street rating 1 | 196.775 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.600 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.575 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.500 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.425 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.625 |
| NQS: | 196.800 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.975
Doable Rating Vary: 19-32
26. Nebraska – 196.755
| Street rating 1 | 197.375 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.500 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.125 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.150 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.125 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.875 |
| NQS: | 196.755 |
Max Doable NQS: 197.005
Doable Rating Vary: 19-33
27. Washington – 196.735
| Street rating 1 | 197.200 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.950 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.500 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.175 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.550 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.500 |
| NQS: | 196.735 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.875
Doable Rating Vary: 23-33
28. Maryland – 196.725
| Street rating 1 | 197.300 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.050 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.725 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.725 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.675 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.450 |
| NQS: | 196.725 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.895
Doable Rating Vary: 22-33
29. Clemson – 196.690
| Street rating 1 | 196.825 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.550 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.375 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.600 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 197.350 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.350 |
| NQS: | 196.690 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.940
Doable Rating Vary: 20-33
30. Boise State – 196.655
| Street rating 1 | 197.025 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.800 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.250 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.825 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.750 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.650 |
| NQS: | 196.655 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.810
Doable Rating Vary: 25-34
31. Illinois – 196.630
| Street rating 1 | 196.850 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.550 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.400 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.275 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.850 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.500 |
| NQS: | 196.630 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.805
Doable Rating Vary: 25-34
32. Southern Utah – 196.585
| Street rating 1 | 196.800 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.525 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.250 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 197.125 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.850 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.500 |
| NQS: | 196.585 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.760
Doable Rating Vary: 26-35
33. San Jose State – 196.555
| Street rating 1 | 196.675 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.650 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.600 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.575 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.500 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.450 |
| NQS: | 196.555 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.600
Doable Rating Vary: 32-35
33. BYU – 196.555
| Street rating 1 | 197.000 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.750 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.600 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.500 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.475 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.450 |
| NQS: | 196.555 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.665
Doable Rating Vary: 30-35
35. Ball State – 196.520
| Street rating 1 | 198.025 |
| Street rating 2 | 197.425 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.100 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.600 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.400 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.075 |
| NQS: | 196.520 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.910
Doable Rating Vary: 22-35
The Race for Regionals: It’s an unusually small group of groups nonetheless in limbo about their regionals destiny this yr with 35 of the 36 spots already locked in and three groups battling for that final spot. Right here’s the deal:
—If Iowa State scores 196.700 or higher, Iowa State clinches the spot.
—If Iowa State scores 196.375 or higher, Iowa is eradicated, although George Washington would possibly nonetheless be alive so long as GW has scored a minimum of 196.775.
–If George Washington scores underneath 196.475, George Washington is eradicated no matter what the others do.
–If Iowa scores underneath 196.250, Iowa is eradicated no matter what the others do.
36. Iowa State – 196.325
| Street rating 1 | 196.700 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.150 |
| Street rating 3 | 195.950 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.900 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.650 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.175 |
| NQS: | 196.325 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.515
Doable Rating Vary: 36-38
37. Iowa – 196.305
| Street rating 1 | 196.550 |
| Street rating 2 | 196.450 |
| Street rating 3 | 196.300 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.400 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.225 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.150 |
| NQS: | 196.305 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.385
Doable Rating Vary: 36-38
38. George Washington – 196.145
| Street rating 1 | 197.200 |
| Street rating 2 | 195.675 |
| Street rating 3 | 195.575 |
| Residence/street rating 1 | 196.625 |
| Residence/street rating 2 | 196.600 |
| Residence/street rating 3 | 196.250 |
| NQS: | 196.145 |
Max Doable NQS: 196.470
Doable Rating Vary: 36-39
The present regionals seed distribution primarily based solely on rating can be as follows:
–1 Oklahoma, 8 Denver, 9 Michigan State, 16 Ohio State
–2 Cal (host), 7 Alabama, 10 Michigan (host), 15 Minnesota
–3 LSU, 6 Kentucky, 11 UCLA, 14 Auburn
–4 Florida (host), 5 Utah, 12 Arkansas (host), 13 Missouri
The cleanest host redistribution, through which you don’t transfer anybody multiple rating spot, would see Arkansas change with UCLA and Michigan change with Michigan State.
–1 Oklahoma, 8 Denver, 10 Michigan (host), 16 Ohio State
–2 Cal (host), 7 Alabama, 9 Michigan State, 15 Minnesota
–3 LSU, 6 Kentucky, 12 Arkansas (host), 14 Auburn
–4 Florida (host), 5 Utah, 11 UCLA, 13 Missouri
If I have been to trrrryyyy to map out geographical placements of the present 36 into these regionals (which is all the time a tenuous sport), right here’s the place I’m with it:
| MICHIGAN | CAL | ARKANSAS | FLORIDA |
| Oklahoma | Cal | LSU | Florida |
| Denver | Alabama | Kentucky | Utah |
| Michigan | Michigan St | Arkansas | UCLA |
| Ohio St | Minnesota | Auburn | Missouri |
| Kent St | Oregon St | Arizona St | Georgia |
| Penn St | Stanford | Arizona | NC State |
| Maryland | Washington | Nebraska | Towson |
| Play ins | |||
| Illinois | Boise St | So. Utah | Clemson |
| Iowa St | San Jose St | BYU | Ball St |
I made some extent right here of attempting to maintain the highest 28 groups out of the play-ins and put groups 29-36 into them (therefore geographical weirds like Ball State going to Florida as a substitute of Michigan), however the committee undoubtedly doesn’t do this. NC State in 2021, Iowa State in 2022, Arizona in 2023. All obtained the scores required to have a rating excessive sufficient to keep away from the play-ins however obtained demoted into them primarily based on the state they’re in. #28 Maryland may very well be in peril of that proper now in the event that they get put within the Florida regional.
There’s additionally a enjoyable provision within the guide the place they’re purported to attempt to keep away from convention rematches within the placement of groups whereas additionally inserting them primarily based on their geography, which…how each issues? Though beginning subsequent yr, I assume that turns into straightforward.
